PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoLiquidado pelo provedor, mercado por mercado
Resolvido: 19 de out. de 2026, 18:09
Este evento não tem um único vencedor. O provedor liquidou cada mercado separadamente; cada mercado mostra seu próprio resultado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 19 de out. de 2026, 18:06 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Fool46%
Mexico36%
Sanction36%
Nidal Hasan5%
Putin0%
China100%
Deranged / Derangement100%
Iran100%
Russia100%
War100%
ChinaGanhou
Deranged / DerangementGanhou
IranGanhou
RussiaGanhou
WarGanhou
FoolPerdeu
MexicoPerdeu
Nidal HasanPerdeu
PutinPerdeu
RiggedPerdeu
SanctionPerdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
- Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
- (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
- Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.
