Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 70%
Previsores
263
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
15/04/26, 16:48 UTC20/01/29, 17:29 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump post this week? (September 7 - September 13)
PolymarketHow many "truths" will Trump post from Sept. 3 through Sept. 9?
PredictItWhat words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRegras
Resolves YES if Trump posts another religious image of himself before the end of his presidency.
- Resolves YES if the image is of a major figure: Jesus, Mohammed, the Buddha, the Messiah, etc. Resolves YES if the image is a remix of a sacred artwork: Trump at The Last Supper, Trump as Adam in Michelangelo's Creation of Adam, etc. Resolves NO if the image lacks grandeosity and is Christian in nature, like Trump just going to church or celebrating Thanksgiving.
- However, cross-religious depicitions like him meditating as a Buddhist resolve YES.
- The resolution date shall extend however long Trump remains in office, including for a 3rd term, but terminate early should he leave.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 855,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 683,4 mil
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,6 mi
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Volume total
- € 620,1 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 215,2 mil
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 70% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself? é resolvido?
- Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if Trump posts another religious image of himself before the end of his presidency.