Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoEsportes1m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 54%
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
25,7 €
Liquidez
477,7 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
39.0% / 69.0%
Spread
30.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
30/07/26, 19:43 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
