PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 86%+1.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
275,6 €
Liquidez
20,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
14.0% / 15.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
5
Variação 7d
-1.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado26/02/26, 0:341/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US x Cuba military clash in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 86% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US x Cuba military clash in 2026? é resolvido?
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como US x Cuba military clash in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.