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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Trade Policy
  3. US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

0.5% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyChina18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 5%
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

477,7 €

Liquidez

15,1 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

4.0% / 6.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-4.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

26/05/26, 23:0530/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes5%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
  • The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
  • Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%

Mercados Relacionados

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Sim: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

247 €
Sim: 75%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

0,1 €
Below 10%: 19%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

0 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 80%KalshiKALSHI
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Sim: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%CardanoADA$0.1664+3.72%HyperliquidHYPE$54.74-0.74%LitecoinLTC$42.68+0.89%

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
  • The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
  • Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.