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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Trade Policy
  3. What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

One-OffTrade PolicyChinaEurope19d
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Below 10%
Below 10% 18%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

1,3 €

Liquidez

80,2 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

15.0% / 22.0%

Spread

46.7%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

4/02/26, 15:001/07/26, 3:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Below 10%18%

Regras

If the general import tariff rate on imports from India into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is below 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date.
  • This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country.
  • Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify.
  • The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions.
  • If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

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Mercados Relacionados

What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

0,1 €
Below 10%: 19%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

0,1 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 81%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

0 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 80%KalshiKALSHI
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Sim: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Sim: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

247 €
Sim: 75%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

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Regras

If the general import tariff rate on imports from India into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is below 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date.
  • This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country.
  • Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify.
  • The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions.
  • If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.