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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

2.5% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
June 30
June 30 6%-2.5%
Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

1,3 mil €

Liquidez

15,7 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

5.0% / 7.0%

Spread

40.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-1.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

27/11/25, 12:4430/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
December 31
December 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
February 28
February 28
0%

Resultado escolhido

June 306%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine officially agrees to a peace framework to end the Russo–Ukrainian war that the United States has formally endorsed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
  • A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
  • An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework.
  • The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

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Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

8,8 mil €
December 31: 33%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

2,7 mil €
Sim: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?

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0,1 €
Before Jul 1, 2026: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,723.10+1.67%EthereumETH$1,654.79+0.91%SolanaSOL$64.99+0.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.70%XRPXRP$1.11-0.23%BNBBNB$597.79+1.53%

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine officially agrees to a peace framework to end the Russo–Ukrainian war that the United States has formally endorsed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
  • A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
  • An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework.
  • The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs.