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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

2.0% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 8%-0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

61 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

14,8 mil €

Liquidez

16,9 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

7.0% / 9.0%

Spread

28.6%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-1.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

5/11/25, 17:5731/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes8%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
  • Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the U.S.
  • Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
  • Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the U.S.
  • Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.