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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

0.5% (24h)One-OffPolíticaRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31
December 31 20%+0.5%
Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado

64 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

3,1 mil €

Liquidez

32,9 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

6.0% / 13.0%

Spread

116.7%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+1.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

26/12/25, 23:5431/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
January 31
January 31
0%
March 31
March 31
0%

Resultado escolhido

December 3120%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
  • A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
  • Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
  • A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
  • Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.