PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
36.5–36.9 75.2%Líder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
36.5–36.9 75.2%Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
867,5 €
Liquidez
919,4 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
4.5 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 minutos
2/10/26, 22:10 UTC10/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/2-10/9)
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 9, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Oct 9, 2026? · 37.6 to 37.8 50%