PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 84%
Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,1 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
13.0% / 19.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
2
Variação 7d
-5.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado16/12/25, 0:361/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
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- Volume total
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 mais resultados
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
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- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Supreme Court vacancy in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 84% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? é resolvido?
- Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.