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  3. SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

1.5% (24h)EquitiesOne-OffTecnologiaSpaceCorporate Actions6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 9%-0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

303,3 €

Liquidez

12,3 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

8.0% / 9.0%

Spread

12.5%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

9/06/26, 5:561/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes9%

Regras

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
  • The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc.
  • (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).

Mercados Relacionados

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

9,1 mil €
↑$1.6T: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

2,9 mil €
Up: 53%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

SpaceX IPO day's closing market cap

1,2 mil €
<$750B: 0.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

551 €
$2.0T-$2.5T: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?

129,3 €
Sim: 32.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,978.79+2.54%EthereumETH$1,662.50+1.96%SolanaSOL$65.36+1.80%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.63%BNBBNB$597.26+1.92%XRPXRP$1.12+0.54%

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Regras

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
  • The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc.
  • (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).