PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Stephen Skoly 74.3%-1.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,7 mil €
Liquidez
8,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
74.0% / 76.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+8.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
21/08/26, 20:34 UTC9/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will John E. Sununu win the New Hampshire Republican primary election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWho Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary for Florida Governor?
Manifold MarketsWill Aaron Guckian win the Rhode Island Republican primary election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Elaine Pelino win the Rhode Island Republican primary election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExNH-01 Republican Primary Winner
LimitlessRI-02 Republican nominee?
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de RI-02 Republican Primary Winner?
- A Polymarket cota Stephen Skoly em 74% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando RI-02 Republican Primary Winner é resolvido?
- RI-02 Republican Primary Winner deverá ser resolvido em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Como RI-02 Republican Primary Winner é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.