PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Péter Magyar (100%)
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Péter Magyar 100%+0.1ptLíder entre 26 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
309,3 mil €
Liquidez
5 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 79 dias
Desatualizado24/07/25, 22:0512/04/26, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Péter Magyar100%
Other0%
Person Q0%
Person R0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person U0%
Viktor Orbán0%
Person P0%
Klára Dobrev0%
László Toroczkai0%
István Kapitány0%
János Lázár0%
Person C0%
Person D0%
Person E0%
Person F0%
Person G0%
Person H0%
Person I0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person N0%
Person O0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· Péter Magyar
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 100% | — | 309,3 mil € | 5 M € | há 79 dias | |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondência · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | há 94 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Fechados
Resolvido
Péter Magyar (99.1%)
99.1%
0.7%
0.2%
Previsão da comunidade54 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.