PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
October 31 75.5%-14.0ptAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,2 mil €
Liquidez
3,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
23.0% / 25.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
4/09/26, 14:29 UTC31/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Muse Spark 1.4+ (Meta) release date
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Mercados abertos
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- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date??
- A Polymarket cota October 31 em 76% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? é resolvido?
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).