PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
New Zealand First Party 53.9%-5.5ptLíder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
41,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
1
Variação 7d
+4.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
29/04/26, 23:59 UTC7/11/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegras
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
- A Polymarket cota New Zealand First Party em 54% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando New Zealand Election: 3rd Place é resolvido?
- New Zealand Election: 3rd Place deverá ser resolvido em 7 de novembro de 2026.
- Como New Zealand Election: 3rd Place é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.