Probabilidade implícita atual
Under 52.5%-6.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
37 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
161,3 €
Liquidez
578,8 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
31.0% / 64.0%
Spread
33.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
+40.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
20/08/26, 18:33 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if BSW wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if BSW wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.