Este mercado foi resolvido: 1.15–1.19ºC (100%)
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual1.15–1.19ºC 100%+3.0ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
24 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 0.1%
Variação 7d
-4.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 dias
Desatualizado26/05/26, 23:3530/06/26, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
1.10–1.14ºC0%
1.25–1.29ºC0%
<1.10ºC0%
>1.29ºC0%
1.20–1.24ºC0%
1.15–1.19ºC100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· 1.15–1.19ºC
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral82% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 99% | — | 11 mil € | 70,3 mil € | há 10 dias | Abrir → |
 PolymarketEsta página | Baixa | 100% | — | 2,2 mil € | 0 € | há 17 dias |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Jun 2026 temperature increase?
Fechados
Resolvido
1.03 to 1.09 (99%)
+1.0pt91.7%
1.9%
+1.0pt1.9%
+3 mais resultados
38 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoAlta liquidez
Volume total112,5 mil €
Volume 24h11 mil €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
- An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.2k99.7%POLYMARKETWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? — NodevoteeOfBeshabahá 18 dias
POLYMARKETWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? — NodevoteeOfBeshabahá 18 diasTendência de volume
$2.5k3 de jul.8d de dados10 de jul.
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This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
- An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.