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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

14.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoMiddle East
PolymarketPolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Este mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.

Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 83%+0.1%
Qualidade do mercado

60 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

22,7 €

Liquidez

7,4 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

81.0% / 85.0%

Spread

4.9%

Spread moderado
Variação 7d

+7.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 18 minutos

29/04/26, 23:5427/10/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Sim
Sim
+0.1%
83%
Não
Não
-0.1%
17%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
  • If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
  • If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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Regras

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
  • If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
  • If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".