PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Aguardando resolução verificada
A CoinRithm aguarda uma liquidação confirmada pelo provedor antes de tratar este mercado como resolvido.
Probabilidade implícita atualJuly 15 100%+78.5%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
22,7 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado7/07/26, 23:1531/07/26, 23:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
August 31100%
July 15100%
July 12100%
July 31100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Grandes negociações
$1.2k81.5%Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? — Yesbalthazarontem
$1.8k83.3%Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? — YesLabubuBot9000ontem
Tendência de volume
$25.8k8 de jul.5d de dados12 de jul.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST (UTC +3:30).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market.
- Attacks by proxy forces (i.e.
- Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.