PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: 100+ (100%)
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual100+ 100%+0.3ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
56,2 €
Liquidez
71,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+1.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 dias
Desatualizado21/06/26, 18:1028/06/26, 23:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
25-491%
50-740%
100+100%
75-990%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· 100+
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 100% | — | 56,2 € | 71,4 mil € | há 21 dias | |
 KalshiMais ativa82% de correspondência · verificado | Baixa | 99% | — | 23,3 mil € | 883,1 € | há 25 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)
82.0 ptsFechados
Resolvido
Above 225 (99%)
+82.0pt99%
+62.0pt99%
+97.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
47 • Baixa qualidadeSpread apertadoBaixa liquidez
Volume total190,4 mil €
Volume 24h23,3 mil €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 22, 2026, through June 28, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period.
- If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$642 de jul.4d de dados5 de jul.
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KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
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This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 22, 2026, through June 28, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period.
- If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.