How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?
39.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoMiddle East1m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atual2–3 47%+2.0%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
928,6 €
Liquidez
10 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
4.0% / 6.0%
Spread
50.0%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
2/07/26, 21:404/08/26, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
2–347%
Mercados Relacionados
Will Trump endorse Netanyahu?
828,4 €Before Oct 28, 2026: 54%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
0 €Donald Trump: 58.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
101,4 €Sim: 47.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
444,7 €Likud: 51%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami?
52,5 €Sim: 25.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
567,1 mil €Benjamin Netanyahu: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Iran-Oman Hormuz transit fee talks hit odds: Polymarket sees 85.5% NoBlockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto NewsRegras
The American Israel Public Affairs Committee is a major, bipartisan American lobbying group that advocates for a strong U.S.-Israel relationship and has endorsed candidates in the upcoming US Congressional primaries.
- This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who do not win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections.
- For purposes of this market, a candidate will be considered to have won a primary if they finish in a position to advance to the general election, even if they are not the top vote-earner or if no primary election is held because the candidate ran unopposed.
- This market will only consider the 34 candidates listed below.
- No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant.
- The candidates and races are: