PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democrat 98%+0.1ptLíder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
23,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.6 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Variação 7d
+0.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
13/10/25, 23:273/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm Josh Green 98% · 2 plataformas · faixa de 4 pt
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Hawaii Governor winner? · Josh Green 98%
- Também disponível em Gemini — Hawaii Governor Winner · Josh Green 97%
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+3.0pt19.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt15.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.9%
+44 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 162,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mi
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.8pt22%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt15%
+125 mais resultados
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+1.1pt23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.1pt14%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt11%
+125 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+1.1pt4%
+29 mais resultados
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+1.0pt62%
- Ralph Norman-3.0pt29.6%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
+125 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Hawaii Governor Election Winner?
- A Polymarket cota Democrat em 98% em 23 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Hawaii Governor Election Winner é resolvido?
- Hawaii Governor Election Winner deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Hawaii Governor Election Winner é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
- Onde mais Hawaii Governor Election Winner está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi, Gemini.