PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Texas 13.8%+14.3ptLíder entre 18 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
34,9 €
Liquidez
104,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
32.2 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 30 minutos
29/06/26, 20:05 UTC1/11/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Closest Governor race in 2026?
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Robinhood (Rothera)Regras
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
- If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 133,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 947,3 mil
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 194,6 mi
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- € 28,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 523,8 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volume total
- € 30,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 493,5 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Closest Governor's Race??
- A Polymarket cota Texas em 13.8% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Closest Governor's Race? é resolvido?
- Closest Governor's Race? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Closest Governor's Race? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.