PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
$5+ 96%+0.1ptLíder entre 4 opções
$5+ 96%+0.1ptQualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
2,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
24.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 30 minutos
24/09/26, 08:54 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 0,1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
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PolymarketClaude Sonnet 5 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 5.5 by October 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model (5.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Sonnet" and be designated as version 5.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 5.1 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Sonnet 6, while models whose name does not include "Sonnet" or which retain a version designation below 5.1, such as Claude Sonnet 5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public.
- An introductory price qualifies.
