PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 70.3%+1.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
36 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,4 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
50.0% / 91.0%
Spread
41.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-3.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
1/07/26, 22:30 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.
- It would make permanent a temporary income tax (up to 12%) on high earners that voters approved in 2012, set to expire in 2031.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition?
- A Polymarket cota Yes em 70% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition é resolvido?
- California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.