Probabilidade implícita atual
USA 98%+40.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
76 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
2,4 mil €
Liquidez
19,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
97.1% / 98.0%
Spread
0.9 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
1/09/26, 2:4511/09/26, 12:15
Tendências
Regras
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 4 at 8:15AM ET: If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA".
- If the China win, the market will resolve to "China".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para USA é de 98%.
Referencia CoinRithm USA 98% · 2 plataformas · 0 pt de dispersao entre venues
Mercados abertos
China
KALSHIChina vs USA
- USA+4.0pt99%
- China-4.0pt1%
- Volume total
- € 77,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 73,4 mil
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- € 35 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 35,8 mil
POLYMARKETWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Alibaba18%
- Hesai18%
- Baidu16%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt97%
- October 31-0.1pt96%
- September 30+3.0pt94%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No88.1%
- Yes11.9%
- Volume total
- € 2,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 13 mil
KALSHITop Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
- Alibaba-5.0pt85.3%
- Z.ai+1.0pt6.9%
- Moonshot-4.0pt2%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
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- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de USA vs. China?
- A Polymarket cota USA em 98% em 3 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando USA vs. China é resolvido?
- USA vs. China deverá ser resolvido em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Como USA vs. China é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 4 at 8:15AM ET: If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA".
- Onde mais USA vs. China está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.