Probabilidade implícita atual
Over 70.3%+7.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
318,3 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
54.0% / 87.0%
Spread
33.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
+3.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
20/08/26, 18:20 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?
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KalshiRegras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 20% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 20% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%??
- A Polymarket cota Over em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%? é resolvido?
- Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.