Probabilidade implícita atual
Under 63.4%-3.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,9 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
34.0% / 39.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+6.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
20/08/26, 18:20 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if Grüne wins at least 17% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if Grüne wins less than 17% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%??
- A Polymarket cota Under em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%? é resolvido?
- Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.