Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72.3%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado4/05/26, 20:35 UTC31/05/29, 23:00 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if the Western Australia South West Interconnected System (SWIS) Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM) time-weighted annual average wholesale price for calendar year 2028 exceeds A$150/MWh, as reported by AEMO on its WEM data dashboard and Quarterly Energy Dynamics WA section.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2029 — about five months after year-end, allowing AEMO time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 72% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh? é resolvido?
- Will WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de maio de 2029.
- Como Will WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the Western Australia South West Interconnected System (SWIS) Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM) time-weighted annual average wholesale price for calendar year 2028 exceeds A$150/MWh, as reported by AEMO on its WEM data dashboard and Quarterly Energy Dynamics WA section.