Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72.3%
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4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 47 minutos
Atrasado4/05/26, 20:35 UTC31/05/29, 23:00 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolves YES if the Western Australia South West Interconnected System (SWIS) Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM) time-weighted annual average wholesale price for calendar year 2028 exceeds A$150/MWh, as reported by AEMO on its WEM data dashboard and Quarterly Energy Dynamics WA section.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2029 — about five months after year-end, allowing AEMO time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
