Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.1%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado4/05/26, 20:35 UTC31/05/28, 23:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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ForecastExRegras
Resolves YES if the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) Victoria region time-weighted annual average wholesale spot price for calendar year 2027 exceeds A$105/MWh, as reported by AEMO in its Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q4 2027 release and the 2027 calendar-year summary on the AEMO data dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2028 — about five months after year-end, allowing AEMO time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
