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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado17/06/23, 06:20 UTC31/12/29, 11:00 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Tether collapse before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUSDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
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PolymarketWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date?
PolymarketWill Tether collapse before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Tether collapse before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
YES = USDT < $0.98 for 7 days.
- Will use price data from one of the top exchanges at the time (e.g. today in 2023 I would use Coinbase).
- Background: USDT is a stablecoin managed by Tether (company).
- There have been rumors for a long time that Tether may not have enough assets to fully back the USDT stablecoins distributed in the crypto-economy (~$80B).
- If it were found that tether insolvent, or something else happened to shake confidence in USDT's redeemability to USD, then the price could depeg.
- I picked 1 week so it would indicate a serious issue, i.e. probably irredeemable reputational damage and likely leading to users abandoning the stablecoin.
Mercados abertos
StablecoinPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 496,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 381,7 mil
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.6pt100%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- 72,000+0.1pt99%
- 74,000+0.5pt98%
- 76,00092%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.3pt99%
- 72,000+0.3pt99%
- 74,000-0.3pt96%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBitcoin price on September 9?
- 78,000-80,000+16.5pt60.2%
- 76,000-78,000+4.5pt26.2%
- 80,000-82,000-13.5pt10.7%
+8 mais resultados
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 11?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 10?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- Bitcoin price on September 12?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
- Total commitments for the Linera public sale on Sonar
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Ethereum price on September 9?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 83% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030 é resolvido?
- Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: YES = USDT < $0.98 for 7 days.