Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.9%
Previsores
38
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado1/04/25, 18:20 UTC30/11/28, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
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FutuurRegras
This market resolves yes if Donald John Trump is elected president of the united states in 2028
- Things that resolve yes: Courts rule that the non-consecutive argument is legit and Donald John Trump is elected for a third term.
- Vance legally changing his name to Donald John Trump and then resigning to give the office to Donald John Trump.
- Vance running with Trump as VP and then resigning right after.
- Democracy is overthrown and Donald John Trump elects Donald John Trump for another term in office.
- Any shenanigans in general that cause him to be hold office after his term ends (even if separated by a little break due to a Vance swearing in and resigning type beat)
Mercados abertos
Politics
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed) é resolvido?
- Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed) deverá ser resolvido em 30 de novembro de 2028.
- Como Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves yes if Donald John Trump is elected president of the united states in 2028