Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 80.8%
Sim 80.8%Previsores
46
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado2/01/25, 10:20 UTC1/01/29, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will he still be the president on January 21st, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump still be in power in February 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the president on January 21, 2029 be a white man?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be US vice president on January 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurSisi still President of Egypt through the end of 2029?
FutuurRegras
According to the U.S. Constitution, presidential terms begin on January 20th following an election and last exactly 4 years.
- If Donald is inaugurated as the 47th president on January 20, 2025, his term would end on January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump is serving as President of the United States on January 1, 2029.
- This market will resolve NO if Trump is inaugurated but no longer in office on January 1, 2029
