Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96.3%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado9/07/26, 21:37 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, Donald Trump publicly declares himself to be the Pope, the Bishop of Rome, or the head of the Roman Catholic Church.
- To qualify for a YES resolution:
- The declaration must be a literal or official public assertion made by Trump himself via an official speech, press release, on-the-record interview, or verified social media account.
- The declaration must be verified by direct audio/video evidence or reported by credible, mainstream news outlets.
- Exclusions: Merely sharing satirical, meme, or AI-generated imagery depicting himself in papal attire (similar to his May 2025 Truth Social post), or making clearly figurative/metaphorical remarks (e.g., calling himself "the pope of real estate"), will not qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump declare himself Pope before the end of 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump declare himself Pope before the end of 2026 é resolvido?
- Will Trump declare himself Pope before the end of 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Trump declare himself Pope before the end of 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria