Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 76.3%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado9/12/25, 05:22 UTC28/02/27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
2025 saw unprecedented impacts to the federal workforce.
- Will 2026 bring similar results?
- I will subtract the January 2026 reading of federal employee count from the January 2027 reading using the FRED federal employee counts given here:
- https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001
- If the difference exceeds 100,000 the answer resolves yes, and no otherwise.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 76% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026 é resolvido?
- Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 28 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: 2025 saw unprecedented impacts to the federal workforce.