Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2,700,000 - 2,800,000 29.4%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado17/12/25, 18:10 UTC31/12/26, 18:04 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
Manifold MarketsBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketWill the federal gas tax be suspended?
KalshiUs market crash in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuelans be better off at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).
- Context: As of November 2025, FRED lists 2,744,000 employees.
- If the reported figure is exactly between two buckets, it resolves to the higher bucket.
- I've included a reasonable range of buckets + "Other"—I can expand with other buckets if they seem relevant.
Mercados abertos
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 125,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,4 mil
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 mais resultados
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 17,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 17,4 mil
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Volume total
- € 2,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 16 mil
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Federal employees at EOY 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2,700,000 - 2,800,000 em 29% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Federal employees at EOY 2026? é resolvido?
- Federal employees at EOY 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Federal employees at EOY 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).