Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado18/01/26, 15:35 UTC20/01/29, 12:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump be removed from office before January 20th of 2029?
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KalshiTrump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 via:
- Impeachment and Senate conviction, OR
- Resolves NO if he completes his term (or leaves due to death or incapacitation).
- Resolves N/A if the office of the presedency ceases to exist.
- Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump is removed via the 25th Amendment and it lasts for the remainder of his term, the market resolves YES.