Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.4%
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20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado5/09/25, 21:57 UTC20/01/29, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if the Trump or Vance bans transgender people from buying guns before 2029.
- This could happen by signing a bill, or an ATF directive.
- Ban must target trans or lgbt people.
- A ban on everyone purchasing guns would not qualify.
- A ban that is preemptively struck down by the courts would resolve NO.
- If trans people can still buy guns by dressing differently resolves NO.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people? é resolvido?
- Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the Trump or Vance bans transgender people from buying guns before 2029.