Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026?
CommoditiesCiênciaYearly5m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.3%
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5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado6/04/26, 18:27 UTC31/03/27, 04:00 UTC
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ForecastExRegras
This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 90%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
- YES if: TOPCon share >= 90% for 2026 NO if: TOPCon share < 90% for 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual report — technology mix table
- InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
- BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook
