Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 99%
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4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 53 minutos
Atrasado17/05/26, 07:33 UTC31/12/26, 06:32 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill Ed Gallrein win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRegras
Resolves yes if Thomas Massie officially endorses Ed Gallrein.
- This must be supportive of his candidacy.
- Congratulating a primary victory doesn’t count.
- Resolves no if no endorsement by Novembers election day.
- Or resolves early to no if Massie wins the primary.
