Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 99%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado17/05/26, 07:33 UTC31/12/26, 06:32 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Thomas Massie win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Ed Gallrein underperform Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Ed Gallrein win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Thomas Massie ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastEx2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegras
Resolves yes if Thomas Massie officially endorses Ed Gallrein.
- This must be supportive of his candidacy.
- Congratulating a primary victory doesn’t count.
- Resolves no if no endorsement by Novembers election day.
- Or resolves early to no if Massie wins the primary.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 691,8 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,6 mi
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Thomas Massie endorse Ed Gallrein??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Thomas Massie endorse Ed Gallrein? é resolvido?
- Will Thomas Massie endorse Ed Gallrein? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Thomas Massie endorse Ed Gallrein? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves yes if Thomas Massie officially endorses Ed Gallrein.