Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?
Rússia / UcrâniaOne-OffEspaçoChina14aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 67.6%
Previsores
33
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado23/12/23, 19:50 UTC1/01/41, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2033?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsWill NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2040, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, satisfying the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be featured in at least one peer-reviewed publication in a high-impact scientific journal of notable academic reputation.
- Fields relevant to this evidence include astronomy, astrobiology, or related scientific disciplines.
- Journals such as 'Nature' and 'Science' are exemplary, but other journals of similar stature are also acceptable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two reputable space exploration agencies or governmental bodies.
- These may include NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).
