Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAOriente MédioGeopolítica2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.7%
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5
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binary
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado13/03/26, 23:09 UTC20/01/29, 11:59 UTC
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- Resolution Criteria
- For a draft to return, Congress would need to pass new legislation to amend the Military Selective Service Act.
- This market resolves YES if legislation authorizing a military draft is signed into law during Trump's second term (January 20, 2025 – January 20, 2029).
- Resolution will be determined by checking the status of draft authorization legislation on official government sources including Congress.gov and the Federal Register.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's term ends without such legislation being enacted.