Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 75.8%
Previsores
27
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado10/04/24, 01:34 UTC1/01/36, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 51st state by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketWill Trump add a 51st state to the US?
KalshiWhat will the 51st state of the United States of America be?
Manifold MarketsRegras
@/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-washington-d
- @/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-puerto-rico
- @/strutheo/will-there-be-a-51st-state-by-hallo
- @/strutheo/will-there-be-a-51st-state-by-the-e-5d31e0e1cfd2
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 693 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 266,9 mil
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 248,7 mil
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 76% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034? é resolvido?
- Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2036.
- Como Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: @/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-washington-d