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Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Regulamentação1a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 67.2%

Previsores

12

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 13 horas

Desatualizado

9/02/26, 22:48 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

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Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the White House makes an official public announcement stating that ICE deportations have exceeded 1 million by December 31, 2027.
The announcement must come from official White House communications (press releases, statements from the President, DHS Secretary, or other authorized administration officials) and be verifiable through official government sources such as whitehouse.gov or dhs.gov.
For resolution purposes, "deportations" refers to formal removals as reported by the Department of Homeland Security's Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), consistent with how the administration has publicly reported these figures.
The market resolves NO if no such announcement is made by EOY 2027, or if official figures show cumulative deportations remain at or below 1 million.
The Department of Homeland Security's FY 2026 budget justification requests funding increases "to support the Administration's strategy of 1,000,000 removals per year." As of January 2026, the Trump administration reported nearly 3 million illegal aliens have left the U.S., including an estimated 2.2 million self-deportations and more than 675,000 deportations.

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Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027?: A Manifold Markets cota No em 67% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027 é resolvido?: Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
Como Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027 é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria

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