Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 63.1%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 43 minutos
21/02/24, 11:31 UTC31/12/99, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Sloth Bear (Melursus ursinus) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Kouprey (Bos sauveli) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Dodo bird be de-extinct by the end of 2028?
FutuurExtinct mammoth hybrids to be born alive by the end of 2027?
FutuurWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRegras
This market is about the extinction risk of the Western Gorilla species in the current century, regardless of subspecies.
- The market will resolve YES if the Western Gorilla is extinct in 2100.
- It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_gorilla
- IUCN assessment
- https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/9404/136250858
Mercados abertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 211 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 110,5 mil
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 21,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 63% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century? é resolvido?
- Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2099.
- Como Will the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market is about the extinction risk of the Western Gorilla species in the current century, regardless of subspecies.