Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the USA have a national Carbon Tax by the end of 2030??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 74.3% em 27 de outubro de 2026.

Will the USA have a national Carbon Tax by the end of 2030?

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 74.3%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 13 horas

Desatualizado

14/09/23, 22:07 UTC1/01/31, 06:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

If the United States has a federal system for broadly levying taxes or fees on domestic carbon emissions by 2030, this market will resolve YES.

A Cap & Trade system would likely not meet these requirements and so would resolve NO.
This market will resolve YES if at any point a carbon tax is enforced, even if it is repealed or legally overturned later.