Will the USA congress have a Green Party or Libertarian member first before EOY 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualneither before EOY 2027 86%Líder entre 3 opções
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado1/01/26, 22:34 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Will there be a senator or house rep (delegates and non voting members count) that affiliates with the greens or libertarians before EOY 2027? If so, what happens first? If happens on same day, resolves 50/50.
- If neither happens before EOY 2027, resolve to that.
- For this market, affiliation with any green or libertarian party location division counts.
- So if they decide to affiliate with the Alaskan Libertarian party, that would count as liberterian.
- Must be that party at time of swearing in, or if they change to it during the term, that’s fine.
- Prior affiliation doesn’t count.
