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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. IA
  3. Will the Technological Singularity occur by January 1st, 2050?
Manifold Markets

Will the Technological Singularity occur by January 1st, 2050?

IATecnologiaOne-Off23a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
Sim 50%
Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores

10

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 dias

Desatualizado
8/04/26, 12:4631/12/49, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes50%

Regras

The Logic: I am setting this to 2050 because "normality" is just a mask we wear until something truly abnormal happens.

Manifold Markets
  • Most people are betting on 2030, but they are trapped in the hype of the present.
  • The "Win-Win" Hedge: If the Singularity happens earlier than 2050, I lose this bet.
  • But if the Singularity is here, money (and Mana) won't exist in a way we understand anyway.
  • I’m betting my Mana to prove that by the time this resolves, the prize won't even matter.
  • It’s a hedge against the apocalypse.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,686.76+1.64%EthereumETH$1,653.24+0.93%SolanaSOL$64.91+0.57%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.75%BNBBNB$596.60+1.44%XRPXRP$1.11-0.40%

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Regras

The Logic: I am setting this to 2050 because "normality" is just a mask we wear until something truly abnormal happens.

Manifold Markets
  • Most people are betting on 2030, but they are trapped in the hype of the present.
  • The "Win-Win" Hedge: If the Singularity happens earlier than 2050, I lose this bet.
  • But if the Singularity is here, money (and Mana) won't exist in a way we understand anyway.
  • I’m betting my Mana to prove that by the time this resolves, the prize won't even matter.
  • It’s a hedge against the apocalypse.