Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
One-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoPolíticaEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202619d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94%
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Atualizado há 19 minutos
12/06/25, 12:29 UTC15/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves to YES if the Republican Party wins at least 218 of the 435 seats in the US House of Representatives in the November 2026 elections.
- This can include independent candidates who caucus with the Democrats (in the same way that the party's Senate majority relies on independent senators).
- It doesn't matter if a Democrat actually becomes Speaker, only who wins more than half the seats in the election.
